Just in case, it was even earlier, 7th of November. So sad you can bet on team making through ChampCup, and not on team failing to achieve so....

connachta wrote: Embra will NEVER get 38 points [needed for top 6] , they are an average team, with big away games to come

pinky wrote: Yeah, Edinburgh would need to beat either Leinster or Munster away, both of them if we win another match (as well as all their other games) so seems pretty safe.

There Pinky you can admit I predicted Edinburgh would fade away, or do you want my self-quote from December?

Yeah, Edinburgh would need to beat either Leinster or Munster away, both of them if we win another match (as well as all their other games) so seems pretty safe.
Bookies had us 7/4 to top the table earlier and the next team were a long way back so we'd have to fancy ourselves capable of a home semi.

so Ospreys very unlikely to over take us, same can be said of Munster even though they have games in hand they have some tough games left. then you have glasgow and edinburgh, glasgow could mount a challenge but edinburgh will fall away, so now it's just a question of in which of the top 5 places we finish. and 5th place is just the worst case scenario top4 is more realistic

Now Ospreys need 20 out of 25 possible at least to imagine being in front of us. We're nearly through Champions Cup, clearly

Leinster win 19-16. Hanging on a bit at the end but got over the line. Think its now safe to say European Qualification is secure barring an outrageous series of results. We can turn our attention to Top 4.

16-3 at half time, Leinster well on top for 35 minutes but Ospreys butcher a number of opportunities within 10m of the line in the last 5

No mixed feelings here at all. Ospreys all the way for me. We're scrapping for a home semi now.


(Also. Robbie Henshaw.)

Yes mixed feelings too, but Ospreys are lively and dangerous, I'd be happy tonight to dare say the Greatest Rugby Cup is gonna be played by Connacht next season

Interesting arguments here but I'm leaning towards Borders' position.
I want to see the back of Ospreys just to be sure, and I don't think Leinster are our biggest worry. Happy enough for them to take points off some of our rivals en route to top spot and then we can take them out gloriously in Murrayfield.

Borders no.2 wrote: Leinster v Ospreys at 3. Not exactly sure what to hope for here. After the results in the last week Ospreys should be far enough out of sight for us not to have to worry about them but I'd expect them to win their last 5 matches so might be no harm to have them out of the equation as far as we are concerned. On the other hand if Leinster lose here their run in looks quite tough.

The Champions Cup qualification thing is done; highest ever 6th pace finish was 60; highest ever 5th place 65, so with the Treviso game in our back pocket we're home and hosed for both those targets. It's all about top two now, so today we are all large fish eating birds of prey. If Ospreys beat the Goys then our game against Leinster gives us the chance to put a lot of daylight between us and the chasing pack.

Evil_g wrote: League leaders Connacht have conceded more tries than any other team in the league with the exception of the Italians. :silly:

And also have scored twice as many tries as them.....
The season so far proves out Matt Williams stat/theory (think it was on Off The Ball) that teams scoring 3 or more tries in a game generally win. The boys have been working that stat to death all season and long may it continue (although the coach in me shudders at the defensive lapses)!

Leinster v Ospreys at 3. Not exactly sure what to hope for here. After the results in the last week Ospreys should be far enough out of sight for us not to have to worry about them but I'd expect them to win their last 5 matches so might be no harm to have them out of the equation as far as we are concerned. On the other hand if Leinster lose here their run in looks quite tough.

Paddy P now have the following odds:
Connacht to win the Pro12: 3/1
Donald Trump to win the presidency: 3/1
I was going to start a comparative graph of those two markets a few months back. Really wish I'd done it now!

League leaders Connacht have conceded more tries than any other team in the league with the exception of the Italians. :silly:

menacethedenis wrote: I see Welshman Ian Davies is reffing the Leinster Ospreys game tomorrow. I haven't seen any Ospreys fans complaining about a non neutral ref. Their crusade didn't last long.

Hush now and let Agent Davies do the necessary for us.