So either a LBP or a TBP guarantees us 3rd - means we would be playing away in RDS
A loss without a LBP and Ulster win with a TBP and we 4th - away to Glasgow
A TBP Win means we play either Ulster or Scarlets at home
A Win means we play Glasgow at home

I'm going on the assumption Leinster beat Treviso

I know there are other permutations, but looking at the table and the fixtures, the most likely outcomes are that we play Glasgow at home or Leinster away in the play off. I'm pretty happy with that. If we're talking about a fantasy outcome, then us topping the standings and getting Scarlets at home would be it for me. I can't see that happening though (yes fate, I'm tempting you).

what a barrage for 4th to 7th place in the pro12 next weekend.....Ulster away to an Ospreys team 4 points off 6th place ..and Scarlett's away to Munster .........ospreys will put in a big performance against Ulster..prob a win with Ulster getting nothing

I think 4th place is in scarlets hands, albeit away to Munster

Next Saturday is going to be a true Super Saturday of rugby in the Pro 12 as there is something to play for in all 6 games.

Ulster could still loose out on a Semi final spot to Scarlets. Munster could still miss out on Champions rugby to Ospreys and which Italian side gets Championship rugby is still up for grabs.

Darragh wrote: Ulster had a very impressive win today. They are coming into a little bit of form, a la Glasgow.

It looks like Leinster and ourselves that are a bit more touch and go.

Either way, whatever games left will be hard as fook and all cup finals.

Nothing has changed with Connacht other than injuries. As for Leinster they just have an imagination issue

Ulster had a very impressive win today. They are coming into a little bit of form, a la Glasgow.

It looks like Leinster and ourselves that are a bit more touch and go.

Either way, whatever games left will be hard as fook and all cup finals.

Fourdogs wrote: There is but it would take an very particular set of events.

Connacht win the game and finish Top with 73 points. (Greater No of wins) Glasgow get 2 points by scoring 4 try's and loose by less than 7 = 73 and finish 2nd.
Leinster only get 4 points against Triviso and finish 3rd with 72.(Triviso need to play themselves for the win to guarantee finishing ahead of Zebra and get Champions rugby next year)

Result;
Connacht get home Semi against Ulster or Scarlets (who with 2 win's in their remaining games and Ulster loosing against Ospreys can still finish in 4th)

Glasgow get home Semi against Leinster and we both meet in Edinburgh at the end of May.

Told you it was complicated.

I know there are other computations before the righteous out there start slamming me.

I vote for this one please! (it's also not entirely improbable)

There is but it would take an very particular set of events.

Connacht win the game and finish Top with 73 points. (Greater No of wins) Glasgow get 2 points by scoring 4 try's and loose by less than 7 = 73 and finish 2nd.
Leinster only get 4 points against Triviso and finish 3rd with 72.(Triviso need to play themselves for the win to guarantee finishing ahead of Zebra and get Champions rugby next year)

Result;
Connacht get home Semi against Ulster or Scarlets (who with 2 win's in their remaining games and Ulster loosing against Ospreys can still finish in 4th)

Glasgow get home Semi against Leinster and we both meet in Edinburgh at the end of May.

Told you it was complicated.

I know there are other computations before the righteous out there start slamming me.

dobby wrote:

salmson wrote:

Fourdogs wrote:
Pro 12 winners go into Pool 1 for the Cup draw. 2nd and 3rd go into Pool 2. 4th into Pool 3.

Not quite -

Winners in Pot 1.

Two of the runners up (France, England, Pro12) drawn by lot into Pot 1.

If Pro12 runner up is drawn into Pot 1, then higher placed losing semi finalist goes into Pot 2 and lower losing semi-finalist goes into Pot 3.

Otherwise runner up and both losing semi-finalists go into Pot 2.

Couldn't be simpler :blink: :S :huh:

I'm going for a walk. Maybe a bit of fresh air will provide the brain with the necessary nourishment to process and comprehend this information

It's because there's 6 finalists across the 3 leagues but only 5 groups i Europe.

So. Winners of 3 leagues = top seeds.

2 out of the 3 losing finalists make up the other two top seeds (done by a random draw).
The third goes into 2nd seeds.

On a side note huge congratulations to you guys for making the semis. Now, if there was a way we (Glasgow) avoided eachother in them that'd be great!

salmson wrote:

Fourdogs wrote:
Pro 12 winners go into Pool 1 for the Cup draw. 2nd and 3rd go into Pool 2. 4th into Pool 3.

Not quite -

Winners in Pot 1.

Two of the runners up (France, England, Pro12) drawn by lot into Pot 1.

If Pro12 runner up is drawn into Pot 1, then higher placed losing semi finalist goes into Pot 2 and lower losing semi-finalist goes into Pot 3.

Otherwise runner up and both losing semi-finalists go into Pot 2.

Couldn't be simpler :blink: :S :huh:

I'm going for a walk. Maybe a bit of fresh air will provide the brain with the necessary nourishment to process and comprehend this information

Fourdogs wrote:
Pro 12 winners go into Pool 1 for the Cup draw. 2nd and 3rd go into Pool 2. 4th into Pool 3.

Not quite -

Winners in Pot 1.

Two of the runners up (France, England, Pro12) drawn by lot into Pot 1.

If Pro12 runner up is drawn into Pot 1, then higher placed losing semi finalist goes into Pot 2 and lower losing semi-finalist goes into Pot 3.

Otherwise runner up and both losing semi-finalists go into Pot 2.

Couldn't be simpler :blink: :S :huh:

Cosmo Kramer wrote: Nope TYWBD - we're guaranteed the semis now. even if Ulster were to overtake us we'd still finish fourth.

Ulster would need two wins with one being a 5 pointers and us getting nothing from the Glasgow game for them to overtake us.

Pro 12 winners go into Pool 1 for the Cup draw. 2nd and 3rd go into Pool 2. 4th into Pool 3.

Of course. I used to be able to count to 4...

Nope TYWBD - we're guaranteed the semis now. even if Ulster were to overtake us we'd still finish fourth.

Glasgow will top the league this evening with 71 point.
Ulster v Leinster tomorrow is pivotal for us.
Leinster win and our game against Glasgow decides 2nd and 3rd.
But we still end playing each other in the Semi. Only issue is, who gets the home fixture.

Right now we are 9 points and 2 wins above Ulster and they play tomorrow. We need them to drop 2 points or us to get 2+ next week to guarantee a semi.
If we beat Glasgow, still guaranteed home semi.
I think!