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Connacht Clan
Official Supporters Club of Connacht Rugby

The Fight for 6th spot
- Borders no.2
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- Craic Head
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- clanman
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- Shelflife
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Courage is knowing what lies on the other side and still opening the door.
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- RogueXV
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- Borders no.2
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- swift4prez
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- Borders no.2
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Shelflife wrote: I think there will be a lot of mini battles going on this year, teams playing for a top four place, teams playing for 6th and 7th and the Italians having their own private battles.
Zebre and Treviso will target certain home games and may virtually forfeit some away games in their efforts to to beat each other, zebre could be a spent docket or a raging tiger by the time we get to them in May.
Leinster may concentrate on the HC and that may distract them from the pro 12.
I think that there will be more upsets as teams focus on their individual needs and goals and they will change every week depending on results.
Interesting times ahead !!
Very true and you can throw the Challenge Cup in there as well. I'm sure Dragons and Cardiff will place their full focus on that to try and rescue their season. Edinburgh and ourselves also involved.
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- Shelflife
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Zebre and Treviso will target certain home games and may virtually forfeit some away games in their efforts to to beat each other, zebre could be a spent docket or a raging tiger by the time we get to them in May.
Leinster may concentrate on the HC and that may distract them from the pro 12.
I think that there will be more upsets as teams focus on their individual needs and goals and they will change every week depending on results.
Interesting times ahead !!
Courage is knowing what lies on the other side and still opening the door.
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- RonanL
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RogueXV wrote: As my SuperBru prediction standings can attest I have a problem guessing how things will go 1 week at a time so figuring out a third of the season is well beyond my pay grade level but it sure beats actually doing real work at work. :lol:
Good point - I see zzippy is currently top of the clan prediction league table, closely followed by borders. Maybe we can get them to look into their crystal balls and provide us with the final league standings?!
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- RogueXV
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Borders no.2 wrote: Just reading all that makes my head spin. I reckon if Edinburgh lose this weekend we are in a very strong position to finish above them which would get us 7th at least. It could take a serious points total to beat Scarlets though, 2 or 3 more than any season of late I'd imagine.
Either way don't like looking too far down the track. 5 points on Sunday and 4 points the following Friday are a must in my eyes if we're to give ourselves a strong chance in the last few rounds.
As my SuperBru prediction standings can attest I have a problem guessing how things will go 1 week at a time so figuring out a third of the season is well beyond my pay grade level but it sure beats actually doing real work at work. :lol:
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- salmson
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Accidentally Onside wrote: Mark Hammet has left the Blues with immediate effect, with Edinburgh up next and then us and Scarlets later in season this will have a big impact on the race......tough to tell which way though :sick:
It's unlikely to make them any worse, that's for certain.
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- Borders no.2
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Either way don't like looking too far down the track. 5 points on Sunday and 4 points the following Friday are a must in my eyes if we're to give ourselves a strong chance in the last few rounds.
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- RogueXV
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salmson wrote: Very hard to call. You'd expect Scarlets to do better with their remaining fixtures than they did last season, but while their last 4 games are fairly handy, 3 of them are away, and they are yet to win a single away game this season.
Connacht 37 points +14 vs. last season's fixtures
Competition points in remaining fixtures last season 11
Treviso (h) 5
Cardiff (a) 0
Munster (a) 1
Ulster (h) 0
Glasgow (h) 0
Zebre (a) 5
Ospreys (h) 0
This presumably gets them to 48 points which is what I came up with for their low end figuring wins against the two Italian sides and 3 bonus points over the 7 remaining games. Quite manageable and an improvement of 13 points over last season but probably doesn't get them 6th and so would be disappointing.
salmson wrote: Scarlets 35 points -7 vs. last season's fixtures
Competition points in remaining fixtures last season 13
Ulster (a) 0
Leinster (h) 0
Edinburgh (h) 4
Zebre (a) 2
Dragons (a) 1
Cardiff (h) 1
Treviso (a) 5
This gets them to 48 points as well but that seems a little unrealistic for their low end. They probably secure the full 4 points against Zebre and Cardiff this season. If Treviso care to make it a game even though they'll have nothing to play for at that point it might be tough for the Scarlets to get a win there much less a 5 pointer. I see Scarlets' low end closer to 51/52 points which is why Connacht minimally need to pick up a win at home to Ulster, Glasgow or the Ospreys.
salmson wrote: Edinburgh 33 points +9 vs. last season's fixtures
Competition points in remaining fixtures last season 14
Cardiff (a) 0
Treviso (a) 1
Scarlets (a) 1
Munster (h) 0
Zebre (h) 4
Dragons (a) 4
Leinster (h) 4
This would see them on 47 points and is again where I have their low end. I think they only prove a threat for over taking Connacht for 6th if they manage to overturn the Scarlets (it's handy for Connacht that they are playing each other since the loser will find it hard to recover). Hopefully Leinster will still need a win to secure a top 2 finish by the time their game rolls around.
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